6. TickerTrends' Proprietary Trends

When a user searches a ticker on the top global search bar and clicks enter, they will notice that when the page loads the first thing they see if the "Social Arb Trend". Below we explain what all the "Proprietary Trend" data values are.

Enterprise accounts have access to different Proprietary Trends we have developed in-house. A brief overview is below:

Social Arb Trend: The Social Arb Trend leverages advanced machine learning models to understand what has historically influenced a company’s revenue. This proprietary approach generates a unique time-series trend, offering insights into potential current revenue. Put simply, this time series aggregates social and consumer search data trends into a single, powerful metric. To account for ambiguity, an uncertainty value is incorporated through a “Confidence Score”. A low score indicates an unreliable trend while a high score indicates that alternative models a company's historical revenue well and is thus more reliable. The data sources predictive of that company's revenue are broken out in a pie chart. The Social Arb Trend functions as a digital revenue index, providing a current perspective on what a company might report.

Investor Expectation Tend: The Investor Expectation Trend models aggregate market expectations of a ticker based on analyst and investor discussion online. A high value (closer to 100) is meant to indicate an exuberant investor base with lots of media coverage and social saturation. A value closer to 0 would indicate the opposite.

Whisper Expectation Trend: The Whisper Expectation Trend establishes our best model of hidden earnings expectations embedded in a stock. This proprietary trend helps investors gauge true sentiment of a company going into their earnings reports. A high Whisper value (>80) tends to indicate a much larger beat on analyst expectations is likely needed to sustain the company’s price, whereas a low Whisper value (<20) indicates that a lot of fear or uncertainty might be baked in.